Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.072753 0.077875 0.083202 0.089163 0.095655 0.102521 0.110343
2025-11-16 0.061022 0.068295 0.076284 0.085743 0.096679 0.108976 0.123921
2025-11-23 0.053498 0.061966 0.071669 0.083683 0.098260 0.115499 0.137621
2025-11-30 0.049234 0.058667 0.069864 0.084262 0.102468 0.124971 0.155277
2025-12-07 0.044567 0.054316 0.066219 0.082001 0.102646 0.129116 0.166254
2025-12-14 0.040269 0.049997 0.062155 0.078693 0.100957 0.130413 0.173233
2025-12-21 0.037501 0.047368 0.059971 0.077532 0.101824 0.134946 0.184783
2025-12-28 0.035964 0.046193 0.059539 0.078580 0.105643 0.143676 0.202945
2026-01-04 0.034454 0.044927 0.058856 0.079164 0.108757 0.151532 0.220432
2026-01-11 0.032705 0.043212 0.057423 0.078542 0.110009 0.156657 0.234086
2026-01-18 0.031254 0.041813 0.056323 0.078284 0.111710 0.162494 0.249305
2026-01-25 0.029569 0.039985 0.054499 0.076818 0.111431 0.165171 0.259481
2026-02-01 0.027708 0.037849 0.052165 0.074511 0.109790 0.165715 0.266387
2026-02-08 0.026250 0.036227 0.050502 0.073131 0.109522 0.168474 0.277477
2026-02-15 0.024948 0.034770 0.049001 0.071898 0.109383 0.171401 0.289124
2026-02-22 0.024245 0.034156 0.048719 0.072540 0.112320 0.179717 0.311530
2026-03-01 0.022972 0.032627 0.046964 0.070711 0.110975 0.180448 0.319513
2026-03-08 0.021567 0.030837 0.044724 0.067967 0.107880 0.177814 0.320578
2026-03-15 0.020677 0.029799 0.043607 0.067002 0.107789 0.180577 0.332729
2026-03-22 0.020267 0.029481 0.043602 0.067880 0.110979 0.189615 0.358798
2026-03-29 0.019794 0.029044 0.043380 0.068369 0.113488 0.197550 0.383450
2026-04-05 0.019136 0.028284 0.042601 0.067850 0.114109 0.201866 0.400651
2026-04-12 0.018578 0.027662 0.042018 0.067634 0.115266 0.207311 0.421022